In a significant development, the US GFS model predicts the formation of a tropical cyclone in the Arabian Sea.

Arab Weather – The Arab Weather forecast team is monitoring what the American GFS numerical model is beginning to indicate: the possibility of a new tropical cyclone forming in the Arabian Sea during the final days of October. According to current indicators, it is expected to center in the central Arabian Sea.

All eyes turn to the Arabian Sea again

A preliminary look and analysis of what the US GFS numerical model predicts

According to the model, the tropical system is expected to form off the coast of India, then move toward the central Arabian Sea, approaching the coast of the Sultanate of Oman, before deviating again toward Pakistan. This initial path is unstable and will be subject to many variables. However, it is worth noting that the weather conditions are favorable and support the formation of the tropical system due to weak wind shear and high water temperatures in the Arabian Sea.

It should be noted here that this information does not necessarily express the opinion of Arab Weather, but rather is a preliminary analysis of what the American numerical model, the GFS, expects. It is still preliminary and subject to improvement or decline, so we advise everyone to follow the updates first hand to know everything new about the developments of the tropical situation and the numerical models available through the Arab Weather application.