The tropical condition in the northeastern Arabian Sea is heading towards being classified as a tropical storm named `Shakti.`

2025-10-03 2025-10-03T07:26:01Z
محمد عوينة
محمد عوينة
مُتنبئ جوي

Arab Weather - The Omani Meteorology Department announced the development of the tropical condition in the Arabian Sea into a deep tropical depression northeast of the Arabian Sea at longitude 68.2 east and latitude 20.7 north, with wind speeds around the center estimated at 20-27 knots (37-50 km/h).

Experts at the Arab Weather Center indicated that satellite images reveal the cohesion of the tropical system, indicating its development, especially since the surrounding weather conditions are favorable.

First: Low wind shear in the tropical state activity range

Computer modeling maps show a decrease in wind shear around the center of the tropical system, a positive factor that enhances its chances of development in the coming hours. Active wind shear typically weakens the vertical formation of tropical systems and disperses clouds, while its decrease creates a more favorable environment for the system's growth.

Second: The sea winds are warm.

The surface temperature of the Arabian Sea is also relatively high, at 28-29 degrees Celsius. These temperatures are considered suitable for the development of tropical conditions, providing a rich source of thermal energy and latent moisture for the tropical system. This factor, along with weak wind shear, significantly enhances the chances of the tropical condition gaining sufficient energy to continue its growth and increase its structural organization, which increases the likelihood of its development into a tropical storm within the coming hours, God willing.

On the downside, the tropical system is expected to encounter dry air flowing from Pakistan as it moves westward, potentially hindering its further development into a tropical cyclone. We will continue to monitor the situation closely, and we will update you with the latest developments as soon as they are released.

This article was written originally in Arabic and is translated using a 3rd party automated service. ArabiaWeather is not responsible for any grammatical errors whatsoever.
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