Arabian Sea | Rarely.. Numerical models sense the possibility of a tropical case forming in early December.. Details

Arab Weather - Specialists at the "Arab Weather Regional Center" are monitoring what the latest computer modeling outputs indicate about the possibility of a rare tropical condition forming in the Arabian Sea at the beginning of next December, that is, after the end of the hurricane season, which usually forms in the Arabian Sea during the transitional seasons (May-June and October-November), and not in December!

The orbital path is unclear.

The American Climate Center expects the tropical case to move westward towards Somalia and perhaps Yemen

Despite the long period of time and the statistically weak probability of its realization , we are following the outputs of the American numerical model GFS indicating the possibility of the tropical case moving westward after its formation in the Arabian Sea , i.e. towards Somalia and perhaps Yemen, and Arab Weather will issue more updates on the latest developments in the coming days.

Extremely rare tropical cyclones formed in the Arabian Sea in December!

Although tropical storms rarely form in the Arabian Sea during December, climate records have documented the formation of a number of them, most notably the December 1957 cyclone, which developed over the Arabian Sea near the Gulf of Oman on December 27. According to the scarce information about this cyclone, the storm moved west and affected large parts of the Gulf countries, causing significant material and human damage. Its effects reached Bahrain, which was exposed to storm winds reaching speeds of 180 km/h, causing the collapse of an offshore oil platform, killing 20 people working on it.