Arab Weather - The latest numerical model updates and analyses from the Arab Weather Regional Center indicate forecasts of atmospheric instability across large parts of the Arab world over the weekend, accompanied by seasonal thunderstorms and active, dust-raising winds. Impacts will be concentrated in areas of the Gulf states, Yemen, and Sudan.
Humid tropical winds continue to flow towards the southwestern highlands of the Kingdom, particularly in Jazan and Asir. Cumulonimbus clouds are expected to increase during the afternoon and evening hours on Friday and Saturday, bringing localized, sometimes heavy rainfall in some mountainous areas. This could contribute to flash floods and the flow of valleys.
Forecasts indicate that the same weather system will extend towards Yemen's western mountains, where cumulus clouds will become active during the afternoon hours, with the possibility of varying intensity of rainfall, accompanied by active surface winds that will stir up dust in desert areas.
In the Sultanate of Oman, God willing, the humid monsoon winds will continue to sweep across the Al Hajar Mountains, leading to the formation of cumulonimbus clouds in the afternoon and evening hours, accompanied by rain of varying intensity that could cause valleys and mountain ravines to flow.
Forecasts indicate that these clouds may occasionally extend to the eastern mountains of the UAE, especially in the mountainous regions near Oman, while major cities will remain outside the direct influence of this weather condition.
In Sudan, the latest numerical model outputs show that tropical moisture will continue to flow into large parts of South Sudan over the weekend, leading to the development of dense thunderstorms that will bring intermittent heavy rainfall, particularly in the central and southern regions, extending as far east as the country.
These conditions may increase the risk of localized rising water levels, with the potential for flash floods and limited flooding, especially in low-lying areas and those close to valleys.
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