Forecasts January 2025

Detailed weather forecast:

October 2025 Forecast (Updated Monday, September 22, 2025)

First week:

• rain
  
  • It turned out to be slightly lower than the average in various regions, especially northern Algeria and northern Tunisia.
• Temperatures
  
  • Higher than the rates in Morocco and western Algeria, and lower than the rates in the rest of Algeria, Tunisia and Libya.

  Chance of floods
  

  • Medium to high.
• Description of weather systems
  
  • The jet stream continues to undulate, bringing cold upper troughs across southwestern Europe. This coincides with a response to tropical moisture and a flow of warm air from the south, leading to continued unstable weather conditions in several regions, concentrated in northern Morocco, and most severe in northern Tunisia and northern Algeria, with warnings of flash floods.

Week 2:

• rain
  
  • Convert to below averages in different areas.

  Temperatures
  

  • Higher than average, especially in the interior and desert areas.

  Chance of floods
  

  • Medium
• Description of weather systems
  
  • Some upper basins in the western Mediterranean continue to deepen, causing continued weather disturbances, especially at the beginning of the week, with the possibility of thunderstorms concentrated in northern Tunisia and northeastern Algeria.

Week 3:

• rain
  
  • Lower than the averages in northern Morocco, and around the averages in the rest of the regions.

  Temperatures
  

  • Higher in most regions of Morocco and Algeria and lower in Tunisia and Libya.

  Chance of floods
  

  • Average in Algeria and Tunisia.
• Description of weather systems
  
  • Cold upper air masses continue to push from western Europe toward the western Mediterranean, leading to atmospheric instability. Heavy thunderstorms are possible, especially in northern Algeria and northern Tunisia, with the risk of flash floods and river overflows.

Week 4:

• rain
  
  • Convert to higher rates.

  Temperatures
  

  • Convert to higher rates.

  Chance of floods
  

  • Medium
• Description of weather systems
  
  • The chances of cold air masses moving from the west to the eastern Mediterranean continue, supporting the formation of recurrent weather disturbances. Heavy rains and thunderstorms are expected across Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia, and may extend to northern Libya. These conditions could lead to localized flooding in some mountainous and coastal areas.