The first tropical depression in the Arabian Sea is expected to develop. Will its effects reach the Arab coasts?

Arab Weather - The latest satellite images indicate the accumulation of cumulus clouds in the eastern Arabian Sea. These images hint at the formation of the first tropical atmospheric disturbance in the Arabian Sea, which is expected to develop into a tropical depression within the next 72 hours. Will its effects extend to the Arab countries bordering the Arabian Sea?

Water temperatures are suitable for the disturbance to develop into a tropical depression during the beginning of next week.

According to the numerical outputs received, the tropical disturbance in the eastern Arabian Sea is expected to develop into a tropical depression in the coming days. While the expected path of the anticipated tropical depression cannot yet be determined, most numerical models indicate that the tropical depression will, God willing, affect India.

According to the outputs, seawater temperatures are suitable for the development of the condition, with temperatures in some areas expected to reach 28°C, which is suitable for the development of a tropical condition. However, its proximity to land and the activity of monsoon winds over the Arabian Sea may limit its development into more than one tropical depression.

Will the low pressure system affect the Arab countries bordering the Arabian Sea?

In this context, meteorologists at the Arabia Weather Center stated that the latest computer simulation results indicate that the Arab countries bordering the Arabian Sea will not be affected by the low-pressure system for the next three to four days. Therefore, its effects will remain distant from Arab countries bordering the Arabian Sea, such as the Sultanate of Oman and Yemen.

The first season of tropical activity in the Arabian Sea continues.

In this context, the first season of tropical activity in the Arabian Sea begins in May and continues through June. This is called the "pre-monsoon," meaning the season preceding the monsoon activity in the Arabian Sea. This does not mean that there is no possibility of tropical activity at other times of the year.

As the season's peak activity approaches, the chances of tropical conditions forming in the Arabian Sea increase, especially when atmospheric conditions are favorable, such as warm sea surface temperatures exceeding 27°C. Warm water and the resulting water vapor act as the fuel that fuels tropical conditions. In addition, wind shear is weak, as wind shear limits the vertical growth of cumulus clouds, impeding cloud thickening.

And God knows best.