Will Cyclone Shaheen recur in the Arabian Sea in early October?

2025-09-29 2025-09-29T07:59:18Z

Arab Weather - Arab Weather experts are monitoring the beginning development of a tropical activity in the Arabian Sea. The tropical depression is now centered west of the Indian state of Gujarat. Satellite images show the tropical activity is currently accompanied by strong cumulus clouds in the area northeast of the Arabian Sea.

What are the latest developments in orbital activity?

The latest weather map readings from Arabia Weather indicate that the tropical disturbance will continue to develop and move westward and northwestward over the coming days and into early October. It is expected to develop into a tropical depression, fueled by humid winds and moving westward and northwestward during the first three days of October.

Will Cyclone Shaheen recur in the Arabian Sea in early October?

Arab Weather forecasters said that initial forecasts indicate that the tropical disturbance will move westward and northwestward in the coming days, and that it is expected to develop into a tropical depression. However, the path of the tropical disturbance and its development into a hurricane cannot be determined yet due to the long timeframe. It is also not possible to determine with certainty whether the tropical disturbance will affect the Arab countries bordering the Arabian Sea.

Watch the movement of the tropical depression via satellite images

With the first tropical storm expected to develop in the Arabian Sea in early October, we remember Cyclone Shaheen, a Category 1 cyclone, which formed in early October 2021 and impacted the Sultanate of Oman after moving north, making its way toward the Gulf of Oman on a rare trajectory.

The formation of a hurricane in the Arabian Sea depends on several conditions, which we summarize as follows:

Warm water with a temperature above 27°C.
High humidity in the middle and upper layers of the atmosphere.
Weak wind shear.